Sun, Nov 8 at 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium
Expected score: DET 23.6 – MIA 22.6
Total anchored to the league-wide baseline of 46.2 points — a shared baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Home-field adjustment included (+65 Elo rating points)
Fair odds (display only): DET 1.92 · MIA 2.09
Team ratings (Elo): DET 1522.8 vs MIA 1443.1. 393 games trained (Oct 30).
Model: nfl-elo-v2 — Elo ratings trained on real ESPN results (2025 regular+postseason and 2026 regular season to date), chronological replay, K=20, home advantage = 65 Elo rating points, applied only at true home venues: games the feed flags neutral-site get no home bonus, in training and in prediction. Totals baseline is the mean total points of the training games (measured, not assumed). Score-model spread/total probabilities use the engine's bivariate-normal assumptions (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters. No backtest against closing lines exists; treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
What the win probability uses: Elo ratings only, plus a home-field adjustment of 65 Elo rating points at true home venues (no adjustment at feed-flagged neutral sites).
Contextual research (displayed, not in the calculation): Contextual research only — form, rest, injuries, head-to-head, weather, and travel do not change the win probability above.
Totals: Expected scores are centered on a shared league-wide totals baseline of 46.2 points (the mean total of the training games) — a baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Score-distribution assumptions: Spread/total probabilities assume team scores are bivariate normal (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters.
Validation status: No backtest against closing lines exists. Treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
Data used
DET (4-2) — 13 days rest
Last 5: 3-2 (2 straight wins)
| Oct 25, 2026 | GB | W | 20-17 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ARI | W | 45-21 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CAR | L | 26-32 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | NYJ | W | 31-24 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | BUF | L | 31-41 |
MIA (1-5) — 14 days rest
Last 5: 1-4 (1 straight win)
| Oct 25, 2026 | NYJ | W | 28-25 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIN | L | 24-31 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | MIN | L | 10-15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | KC | L | 10-24 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SF | L | 13-35 |
Coverage: 2024-2026 regular+postseason schedules (ESPN)
| Date | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| No meetings in coverage period | ||
Week 8 report — availability for Week 9 unknown. These designations were published for Week 8's games. They are the latest available report, kept as dated context; they do not say who will be available in Week 9.
DET
| Kerby Joseph | Out | Joseph (knee) was limited in Thursday's practice. |
| Ennis Rakestraw Jr. | Questionable | Rakestraw (ankle) is not believed to be dealing with a major injury after he was forced to exit Sunday's win over the Packers, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. |
| Ben Bartch | Injured Reserve | The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. |
| Devin White | Injured Reserve | The Lions placed White (forearm) on injured reserve Friday. |
| Tom Kennedy | Injured Reserve | The Lions placed Kennedy (knee) on injured reserve Friday. |
| Tyleik Williams | Active | |
| Jacob Saylors | Active | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Active | St. Brown (ankle) practiced in full Thursday. |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Active | Gibbs (shoulder) practiced fully Thursday. |
| Jack Campbell | Active | Campbell tallied 11 tackles (eight solo) during the Lions' 20-17 win over the Packers on Sunday. |
| Brian Branch | Active | Branch recorded four tackles (one solo) and an interception during Sunday's 20-17 win over Green Bay. |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Active | TeSlaa caught one of his two targets for 10 yards in the Lions' 20-17 win over the Packers on Sunday. |
| Jackson Meeks | Active | |
| Bishop Fitzgerald | Active | |
| Ahmed Hassanein | Active | |
| Mekhi Wingo | Active | |
| Seth McLaughlin | Active | |
| Sam LaPorta | Active | LaPorta caught one of two targets for 18 yards in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers. |
| Jameson Williams | Active | Williams caught five of nine targets for 91 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 20-17 win over Green Bay. |
| Jared Goff | Active | Goff completed 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers. |
| Jake Bates | Active | Bates went 2-for-2 on field-goal attempts and made both of his PATs during Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers. |
| Cade Mays | Active | Mays (wrist) was activated from injured reserve Saturday and no longer has an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Packers. |
| Rock Ya-Sin | Active | Ya-Sin (hamstring) does not have an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Packers. |
| DeAndre Carter | Active | The Lions signed Carter to the active roster Thursday. |
| DJ Wonnum | Active |
MIA
| Jared Wayne | Questionable | Wayne (knee) was a limited practice participant Thursday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. |
| Will Kacmarek | Questionable | Kacmarek (hamstring) practiced in a limited capacity Thursday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. |
| JuJu Brents | Questionable | Brents (neck/concussion) was a limited practice participant Thursday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. |
| Greg Dulcich | Questionable | Dulcich (ankle) remained limited at practice Thursday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. |
| Malik Washington | Questionable | Washington (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. |
| Kadyn Proctor | Questionable | Proctor sustained a concussion during Sunday's game against the Jets, Alain Poupart of SI.com reports. |
| Michael Taaffe | Questionable | questionable |
| Dante Trader Jr. | Questionable | questionable |
| Tucker Addington | Questionable | questionable |
| Reese Taylor | Questionable | questionable |
| Robert Beal Jr. | Active | Beal (hamstring) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports. |
| Willie Gay Jr. | Active | Gay (illness) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports. |
| Jaylen Wright | Active | Wright (quadriceps/foot) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports. |
| Jacob Rodriguez | Active | Rodriguez tallied four tackles (one solo) during Miami's win over the Jets on Sunday. |
| Jordyn Brooks | Active | Brooks posted nine tackles (five solo) during the Dolphins' win Sunday over the Jets. |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | Active | Coleman did not catch his only target in the Dolphins' 28-25 win over the Jets on Sunday. |
| Chris Bell | Active | Bell caught three of his four targets for 25 yards in the Dolphins' 28-25 win over the Jets on Sunday. |
| Kaytron Allen | Active | Allen logged six snaps on special teams and didn't show up on the box score otherwise during Sunday's 28-25 win over the Jets. |
| Zane Gonzalez | Active | Gonzalez reverted to the Dolphins' practice squad Monday, per the NFL's transaction log. |
| Chukwuebuka Godrick | Active | |
| Marcellas Dial Jr. | Active | |
| Jalen Tolbert | Active | |
| Caleb Douglas | Active | Douglas (ankle) caught two of three targets for 70 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 28-25 win over the Jets. |
| Malik Willis | Active | Willis completed 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards and two touchdowns while rushing six times for 39 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 28-25 win over the Jets. |
| Ollie Gordon II | Active | Gordon rushed 25 times for 103 yards and a touchdown while catching one of three targets for no gain in Sunday's 28-25 win over the Jets. |
Labels: Out = confirmed unavailable; Doubtful = projected unavailable; Questionable = projected uncertain.
66.4°F, wind 4.5 mph, precip — mm (next 1h),
Forecast for Sun, Nov 8 at 7:00 AM ET (updated Oct 30). Weather data: MET Norway (api.met.no), CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0
Travel (DET): ~1,143 miles, no time-zone change