Wed, Nov 25 at 8:00 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
Expected score: GB 19.9 – LAR 26.3
Total anchored to the league-wide baseline of 46.2 points — a shared baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Home-field adjustment included (+65 Elo rating points)
Fair odds (display only): GB 2.69 · LAR 1.59
Team ratings (Elo): GB 1521.5 vs LAR 1547.9. 393 games trained (Oct 30).
Model: nfl-elo-v2 — Elo ratings trained on real ESPN results (2025 regular+postseason and 2026 regular season to date), chronological replay, K=20, home advantage = 65 Elo rating points, applied only at true home venues: games the feed flags neutral-site get no home bonus, in training and in prediction. Totals baseline is the mean total points of the training games (measured, not assumed). Score-model spread/total probabilities use the engine's bivariate-normal assumptions (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters. No backtest against closing lines exists; treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
What the win probability uses: Elo ratings only, plus a home-field adjustment of 65 Elo rating points at true home venues (no adjustment at feed-flagged neutral sites).
Contextual research (displayed, not in the calculation): Contextual research only — form, rest, injuries, head-to-head, weather, and travel do not change the win probability above.
Totals: Expected scores are centered on a shared league-wide totals baseline of 46.2 points (the mean total of the training games) — a baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Score-distribution assumptions: Spread/total probabilities assume team scores are bivariate normal (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters.
Validation status: No backtest against closing lines exists. Treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
Data used
GB (5-3) — 27 days rest
Last 5: 4-1 (1 straight win)
| Oct 29, 2026 | CAR | W | 27-19 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | DET | L | 17-20 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | DAL | W | 23-13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CHI | W | 31-7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | TB | W | 17-14 |
LAR (3-4) — 31 days rest
Last 5: 2-3 (1 straight win)
| Oct 25, 2026 | LV | W | 35-21 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ARI | L | 16-18 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | BUF | L | 34-37 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | PHI | W | 24-20 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | DEN | L | 26-30 |
Coverage: 2024-2026 regular+postseason schedules (ESPN)
| Date | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | LAR 19 - GB 24 | GB |
Week 8 report — availability for Week 12 unknown. These designations were published for Week 8's games. They are the latest available report, kept as dated context; they do not say who will be available in Week 12.
GB
| Christian Watson | Questionable | Watson said he suffered a broken rib in Thursday night's 27-19 win over the Panthers, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports. |
| Kaleb Johnson | Out | Johnson (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| Jonnu Smith | Out | Smith (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday's game against the Panthers Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| Sean Rhyan | Out | inactive |
| Travis Glover | Out | inactive |
| Donovan Jennings | Out | inactive |
| Zaire Franklin | Out | inactive |
| Micah Parsons | Out | Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said Tuesday that Parsons (knee) has "a chance" to resume practicing next week, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports. |
| MarShawn Lloyd | Active | Lloyd rushed three times for seven yards and brought in his only target for nine yards in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday. |
| Trey Smack | Active | Smack converted three of four extra-point tries and didn't attempt a field goal Thursday in a 27-19 win over Carolina. |
| Jordan Love | Active | Love completed 30 of 41 passes for 288 yards with three touchdowns and one interception and recovered a fumble in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday. |
| Tucker Kraft | Active | Kraft secured all six targets for 53 yards and a touchdown in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday. |
| Matthew Golden | Active | Golden brought in seven of 13 targets for 79 yards and a touchdown in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday. |
| Josh Jacobs | Active | Jacobs rushed 21 times for 39 yards and a touchdown and brought in all six targets for 13 yards and another score in the Packers' 27-19 win over the Panthers on Thursday. |
| Devonte Wyatt | Active | Wyatt (ankle) is active for Thursday's game against the Panthers, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| Keisean Nixon | Active | Nixon (shoulder) is active for Thursday's game against Carolina, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. |
| Anthony Campbell | Active | |
| Brenton Cox Jr. | Active | |
| Aaron Banks | Active | |
| Evan Williams | Active | Williams finished Sunday's 20-17 loss to the Lions with nine tackles (five solo) and one pass defense. |
| Isaiah McDuffie | Active | McDuffie logged 11 tackles (six solo), one fumble and one fumble recovery during the Packers' 20-17 loss to the Lions on Sunday. |
| Xavier McKinney | Active | McKinney posted 10 tackles (four solo) during Sunday's 20-17 loss to the Lions. |
| Bo Melton | Active | Melton caught one of his two targets for four yards and logged a 24-yard kickoff return in the Packers' 20-17 loss to the Lions on Sunday. |
| Savion Williams | Active | Williams caught three passes on as many targets for 47 yards and turned two carries into four yards during the Packers' 20-17 loss to the Lions on Sunday. |
| Benjamin St-Juste | Active | St-Juste (hamstring) was estimated as a full participant on Monday's practice report, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports. |
LAR
| Colby Parkinson | Questionable | Parkinson (ribs) didn't practice Thursday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. |
| Nate Landman | Questionable | Landman (concussion) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. |
| Trent McDuffie | Questionable | McDuffie (groin) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. |
| Coleman Shelton | Questionable | questionable |
| Joe Cardona | Questionable | questionable |
| Terrance Ferguson | Injured Reserve | Ferguson (ankle) won't return to practice this week, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. |
| Davante Adams | Injured Reserve | Head coach Sean McVay said Wednesday that Adams had successful surgery on his left hamstring, and the Rams are hopeful that the wide receiver will be able to return on the early side of his 6-to-10-week recovery timetable, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| Myles Garrett | Injured Reserve | Head coach Sean McVay said Wednesday that the Rams won't open Garrett's (knee) practice window this week, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. |
| Kam Curl | Active | Curl logged four tackles (two solo) during the Rams' 35-21 win over the Raiders on Sunday. |
| Quentin Lake | Active | Lake finished Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders with seven tackles (four solo). |
| Jordan Whittington | Active | Whittington wasn't targeted in Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders. |
| Tutu Atwell | Active | Atwell wasn't targeted in Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders. |
| Konata Mumpfield | Active | Mumpfield caught one of two targets for 15 yards during Sunday's 35-21 win at Las Vegas. |
| Tyler Higbee | Active | Higbee caught two of three targets for 14 yards during Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders. |
| Bill Murray | Active | |
| Max Klare | Active | |
| Keagen Trost | Active | |
| Matthew Stafford | Active | Stafford completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards with three touchdowns and one interception and rushed three times for minus-3 yards in the Rams' 35-21 win over the Raiders on Sunday. |
| Blake Corum | Active | Corum rushed 17 times for 93 yards and a touchdown and brought in his only target for eight yards in the Rams' 35-21 win over the Raiders on Sunday. |
| Davis Allen | Active | Allen caught four of five targets for 20 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders. |
| Kyren Williams | Active | Williams rushed 16 times for 99 yards and a touchdown and brought in both targets for 22 yards in the Rams' 35-21 win over the Raiders on Sunday. He also lost a fumble. |
| Puka Nacua | Active | Nacua brought in eight of 10 targets for 68 yards and a touchdown and rushed twice for 10 yards in the Rams' 35-21 win over the Raiders on Sunday. |
| Brandon McManus | Active | McManus did not attempt a field goal and went 5-for-5 on extra-point tries during Sunday's 35-21 win over the Raiders. |
| Jaylen Watson | Active | |
| Ty Simpson | Active | Simpson (coach's decision) is inactive but will serve as the Rams' emergency third quarterback against the Raiders on Sunday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. |
Labels: Out = confirmed unavailable; Doubtful = projected unavailable; Questionable = projected uncertain.
76.8°F, wind 4.7 mph, precip — mm (next 1h),
Forecast for Sun, Nov 8 at 7:00 PM ET (updated Oct 30). Weather data: MET Norway (api.met.no), CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0
Travel (GB): ~1,764 miles, 2h time-zone shift west