Sun, Dec 13 at 1:00 PM ET · Bank of America Stadium
Expected score: NO 19.8 – CAR 26.4
Total anchored to the league-wide baseline of 46.2 points — a shared baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Home-field adjustment included (+65 Elo rating points)
Fair odds (display only): NO 2.73 · CAR 1.58
Team ratings (Elo): NO 1445.2 vs CAR 1475.5. 393 games trained (Oct 30).
Model: nfl-elo-v2 — Elo ratings trained on real ESPN results (2025 regular+postseason and 2026 regular season to date), chronological replay, K=20, home advantage = 65 Elo rating points, applied only at true home venues: games the feed flags neutral-site get no home bonus, in training and in prediction. Totals baseline is the mean total points of the training games (measured, not assumed). Score-model spread/total probabilities use the engine's bivariate-normal assumptions (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters. No backtest against closing lines exists; treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
What the win probability uses: Elo ratings only, plus a home-field adjustment of 65 Elo rating points at true home venues (no adjustment at feed-flagged neutral sites).
Contextual research (displayed, not in the calculation): Contextual research only — form, rest, injuries, head-to-head, weather, and travel do not change the win probability above.
Totals: Expected scores are centered on a shared league-wide totals baseline of 46.2 points (the mean total of the training games) — a baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Score-distribution assumptions: Spread/total probabilities assume team scores are bivariate normal (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters.
Validation status: No backtest against closing lines exists. Treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
Data used
NO (2-5) — 49 days rest
Last 5: 1-4 (1 straight loss)
| Oct 25, 2026 | PIT | L | 10-16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NYG | W | 34-27 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | MIN | L | 13-23 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | ATL | L | 24-45 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | LV | L | 27-35 |
CAR (3-4) — 44 days rest
Last 5: 2-3 (2 straight losses)
| Oct 29, 2026 | GB | L | 19-27 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | TB | L | 13-43 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | PHI | W | 25-14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | DET | W | 32-26 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CLE | L | 18-21 |
Coverage: 2024-2026 regular+postseason schedules (ESPN)
| Date | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | NO 47 - CAR 10 | NO |
| Nov 3, 2024 | CAR 23 - NO 22 | CAR |
| Nov 9, 2025 | CAR 7 - NO 17 | NO |
| Dec 14, 2025 | NO 20 - CAR 17 | NO |
Week 8 report — availability for Week 14 unknown. These designations were published for Week 8's games. They are the latest available report, kept as dated context; they do not say who will be available in Week 14.
NO
| Cesar Ruiz | Questionable | questionable |
| Nathan Shepherd | Questionable | questionable |
| Justin Reid | Questionable | Reid (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| CJ Donaldson | Questionable | Donaldson (shoulder) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris. |
| Carl Granderson | Active | Granderson totaled four tackles, including 1.5 sacks, in Sunday's Week 7 loss to Pittsburgh. |
| Pete Werner | Active | Werner finished Sunday's loss to the Steelers with eight tackles (three solo). |
| Jonas Sanker | Active | Sanker posted nine tackles (seven solo) in Sunday's Week 7 loss to Pittsburgh. |
| Noah Fant | Active | Fant gathered in all two targets for 11 yards during Sunday's 16-10 defeat against Pittsburgh. |
| Bryce Lance | Active | Lance reeled in all two targets for 12 yards during Sunday's 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh. |
| Kendre Miller | Active | Miller rushed eight times for six yards in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers in Paris. |
| Barion Brown | Active | Brown hauled in all three targets for 57 yards during Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. |
| Mike Reid | Active | |
| Tyree Wilson | Active | |
| John Ridgeway III | Active | |
| Treyton Welch | Active | |
| Zach Wilson | Active | |
| Juwan Johnson | Active | Johnson caught one of three targets for seven yards during Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. |
| Devaughn Vele | Active | Vele caught all five of his targets for 54 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. |
| Alvin Kamara | Active | Kamara carried the ball six times for five yards and caught all seven of his targets for 57 yards in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. |
| Daniel Carlson | Active | Carlson went 1-for-2 on field-goal attempts and made his lone extra-point try during Sundays' 16-10 loss to the Steelers in Paris. |
| Tyler Shough | Active | Shough completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards and one touchdown with one interception in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. He added seven rushing yards on three carries. |
| Chris Olave | Active | Olave caught six of 10 targets for 56 yards in Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Steelers. |
| Spencer Rattler | Active | Rattler is active and will remain the Saints' No. 2 quarterback for Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris, Ross Jackson of WWL Louisiana reports. |
| Anfernee Jennings | Active | Jennings (knee) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers. |
| Kaden Elliss | Active | Elliss (calf) doesn't carry an injury designation into Sunday's game against the Steelers. |
CAR
| Corey Bullock | Questionable | Bullock (quadriceps) exited Thursday's 27-19 loss to Green Bay and did not return, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. |
| Will Lee III | Questionable | Lee is dealing with a hamstring injury and is doubtful to return to Thursday's Week 8 matchup against Green Bay, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. |
| Akayleb Evans | Injured Reserve | Evans (triceps) was placed on injured reserve by the Panthers on Thursday, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| Bobby Brown III | Out | Brown (hand) is inactive for Thursday night's matchup against the Packers, Darin Gantt of the Panthers' official website reports. |
| Haynes King | Out | King (coach's decision) is inactive but operating as the Panthers' emergency No. 3 quarterback against the Packers on Thursday night, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | Out | Sanders (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday night's matchup with Green Bay, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| AJ Dillon | Out | Dillon (coach's decision) is inactive for Thursday night's contest against the Packers, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. |
| Torricelli Simpkins III | Out | Simpkins (ankle) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Packers. |
| Damien Lewis | Out | Lewis (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Packers. |
| Jaelan Phillips | Out | Phillips (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Thursday night's game against the Packers. |
| Taylor Moton | Injured Reserve | The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. |
| Ryan Fitzgerald | Active | Fitzgerald made both field-goal attempts and converted his only extra-point try in Thursday's 27-19 loss to Green Bay. |
| Jalen Coker | Active | Coker secured two of five targets for 37 yards and a touchdown in the Panthers' 27-19 loss to the Packers on Thursday. He also lost a fumble. |
| Bryce Young | Active | Young completed 23 of 41 passes for 209 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the Panthers' 27-19 loss to the Packers on Thursday. |
| Chuba Hubbard | Active | Hubbard rushed 22 times for 81 yards and a touchdown and brought in seven of eight targets for 38 yards in the Panthers' 27-19 loss to the Packers on Thursday. |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Active | McMillan brought in six of 11 targets for 57 yards in the Panthers' 27-19 loss to the Packers on Thursday. |
| Devin Lloyd | Active | Lloyd posted four tackles in Sunday's loss to the Buccaneers. |
| Bobby Okereke | Active | Okereke tallied 10 tackles (seven solo) and a defensed pass in Sunday's loss to Tampa Bay. |
| John Metchie III | Active | Metchie caught two passes for 20 yards during Sunday's 43-13 defeat versus the Buccaneers. |
| Mitchell Evans | Active | Evans gathered in both targets for 39 yards during Sunday's 43-13 loss versus Tampa Bay. |
| Trevor Etienne | Active | Etienne posted six carries for eight yards, reeled in both targets for 17 yards and compiled 69 kickoff-return yards during Sunday's 43-13 defeat to the Buccaneers. |
| Tommy Tremble | Active | Tremble hauled in one of two targets for eight yards during Sunday's 43-13 loss to the Buccaneers. |
| TeRah Edwards | Active | |
| Sam Hecht | Active | |
| Stone Forsythe | Active |
Labels: Out = confirmed unavailable; Doubtful = projected unavailable; Questionable = projected uncertain.
51.6°F, wind 3.8 mph, precip — mm (next 1h),
Forecast for Sun, Nov 8 at 7:00 PM ET (updated Oct 30). Weather data: MET Norway (api.met.no), CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0
Travel (NO): ~649 miles, 1h time-zone shift east