Sun, Dec 13 at 4:25 PM ET · Lumen Field
Expected score: NYG 15.7 – SEA 30.5
Total anchored to the league-wide baseline of 46.2 points — a shared baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Home-field adjustment included (+65 Elo rating points)
Fair odds (display only): NYG 4.44 · SEA 1.29
Team ratings (Elo): NYG 1453.6 vs SEA 1603.2. 393 games trained (Oct 30).
Model: nfl-elo-v2 — Elo ratings trained on real ESPN results (2025 regular+postseason and 2026 regular season to date), chronological replay, K=20, home advantage = 65 Elo rating points, applied only at true home venues: games the feed flags neutral-site get no home bonus, in training and in prediction. Totals baseline is the mean total points of the training games (measured, not assumed). Score-model spread/total probabilities use the engine's bivariate-normal assumptions (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters. No backtest against closing lines exists; treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
What the win probability uses: Elo ratings only, plus a home-field adjustment of 65 Elo rating points at true home venues (no adjustment at feed-flagged neutral sites).
Contextual research (displayed, not in the calculation): Contextual research only — form, rest, injuries, head-to-head, weather, and travel do not change the win probability above.
Totals: Expected scores are centered on a shared league-wide totals baseline of 46.2 points (the mean total of the training games) — a baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Score-distribution assumptions: Spread/total probabilities assume team scores are bivariate normal (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters.
Validation status: No backtest against closing lines exists. Treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
Data used
NYG (4-2-1) — 49 days rest
Last 5: 3-1-1 (1 straight win)
| Oct 25, 2026 | HOU | W | 27-21 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NO | L | 27-34 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | WSH | T | 27-27 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ARI | W | 36-24 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TEN | W | 12-7 |
SEA (4-3) — 48 days rest
Last 5: 2-3 (1 straight win)
| Oct 25, 2026 | KC | W | 20-3 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | DEN | L | 14-17 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SF | L | 29-32 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | LAC | W | 30-23 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | WSH | L | 31-33 |
Coverage: 2024-2026 regular+postseason schedules (ESPN)
| Date | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | SEA 20 - NYG 29 | NYG |
Week 8 report — availability for Week 14 unknown. These designations were published for Week 8's games. They are the latest available report, kept as dated context; they do not say who will be available in Week 14.
NYG
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | Injured Reserve | The Giants placed Tracy (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. |
| Theo Johnson | Questionable | questionable |
| Marcus Mbow | Questionable | questionable |
| Greg Newsome II | Questionable | questionable |
| Jevon Holland | Questionable | questionable |
| Cam Skattebo | Questionable | Skattebo is expected to "OK" after tweaking his hamstring on a 42-yard run in overtime during Sunday's 27-21 win over the Texans, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports. |
| Tremaine Edmunds | Injured Reserve | Edmunds (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. |
| Devin Singletary | Active | Singletary is expected to handle a bigger role out of the Giants' backfield after Tyrone Tracy (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. |
| Arvell Reese | Active | Reese posted seven tackles (five solo), including 0.5 sacks, in Sunday's 27-21 overtime victory against the Texans. |
| Micah McFadden | Active | McFadden notched 10 tackles (all solo) in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win against the Texans. |
| Greg Desrosiers Jr. | Active | The Giants signed Desrosiers off the Chargers' practice squad Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. |
| Darnell Mooney | Active | Mooney caught one of three targets for four yards and rushed once for three yards during Sunday's 27-21 overtime win against the Texans. |
| Jameis Winston | Active | Winston turned four carries into four yards and a touchdown during the Giants' 27-21 overtime win over the Texans on Sunday. |
| Dominic Zvada | Active | Head coach John Harbaugh reiterated Monday that he's confident in Zvada and said that the Giants have no plans to work out other kickers, Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports. |
| Nikko Reed | Active | |
| Josh Sills | Active | |
| Jake Haener | Active | |
| Isaiah Likely | Active | Likely caught two of four targets for 12 yards in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans. |
| Malachi Fields | Active | Fields caught four of five targets for 83 yards in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over Houston. |
| J.J. McCarthy | Active | McCarthy completed 20 of 28 passes for 252 yards and no touchdowns or interceptions in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans. He added one yard on his only carry. |
| Malik Nabers | Active | Nabers caught seven of nine targets for 111 yards in Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans. |
| Jermaine Eluemunor | Active | Eluemunor (calf) is active Week 7 against the Texans, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. |
| Tyler Nubin | Active | Nubin (neck) is active Week 7 against the Texans, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. |
| Paulson Adebo | Active | Adebo (knee) is active Week 7 against the Texans, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. |
| Andrew Thomas | Active | Thomas (groin) does not have an injury designation against the Texans on Sunday. |
SEA
| Velus Jones Jr. | Questionable | Jones (hamstring) did not participate at the Seahawks' practice Thursday. |
| Drew Lock | Questionable | Lock (elbow) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Thursday. |
| Drake Thomas | Questionable | Thomas (ankle) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Thursday. |
| Tyrice Knight | Questionable | Knight (hip) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Thursday. |
| Leonard Williams | Questionable | Williams (Achilles) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Thursday. |
| Anthony Bradford | Questionable | questionable |
| Rashid Shaheed | Questionable | Shaheed (knee) did not practice Thursday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| Jadarian Price | Injured Reserve | Price (chest) was limited in Thursday's practice, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| Zach Charbonnet | Questionable | Charbonnet (knee) was a full participant at Thursday's practice, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| Uchenna Nwosu | Questionable | questionable |
| Patrick O'Connell | Questionable | questionable |
| Chazz Surratt | Questionable | questionable |
| Connor O'Toole | Questionable | questionable |
| Charles Cross | Doubtful | Cross underwent an MRI and was diagnosed with a high ankle sprain, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. |
| Nick Emmanwori | Active | Emmanwori registered four tackles (two solo) Sunday in a 20-3 Week 7 win over the Chiefs. |
| Ernest Jones IV | Active | Jones notched nine tackles (five solo) Sunday in a 20-3 win against Kansas City. |
| George Holani | Active | Holani turned five carries into 11 yards and caught one of two targets for 12 yards during the Seahawks' 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday. |
| Cooper Kupp | Active | Kupp caught both of his targets for 20 yards in a 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday. |
| Tory Horton | Active | Horton failed to haul in his lone target and returned two kickoffs for 60 yards during the Seahawks' 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday. |
| Beau Stephens | Active | |
| Robert Henry Jr. | Active | |
| Jason Myers | Active | Myers went 2-for-2 on field-goal tries and made both of his PATs during Sunday night's 20-3 win over the Chiefs. |
| Sam Darnold | Active | Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Sunday's 20-3 win over the Chiefs. He added two rushing attempts for 17 yards. |
| AJ Barner | Active | Barner caught four of five targets for 42 yards while adding three rushes for four yards during Sunday night's 20-3 win over the Chiefs. |
| Emanuel Wilson | Active | Wilson rushed 24 times for 100 yards and a touchdown while catching his lone target for 15 yards in Sunday's 20-3 win over the Chiefs. |
Labels: Out = confirmed unavailable; Doubtful = projected unavailable; Questionable = projected uncertain.
57.6°F, wind 11.2 mph, precip — mm (next 1h),
Forecast for Sun, Nov 8 at 7:00 PM ET (updated Oct 30). Weather data: MET Norway (api.met.no), CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0
Travel (NYG): ~2,396 miles, 3h time-zone shift west