Sun, Jan 3 at 8:20 PM ET · Levi's Stadium
Expected score: PHI 17.1 – SF 29.1
Total anchored to the league-wide baseline of 46.2 points — a shared baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Home-field adjustment included (+65 Elo rating points)
Fair odds (display only): PHI 3.73 · SF 1.37
Team ratings (Elo): PHI 1486.6 vs SF 1596.3. 393 games trained (Oct 30).
Model: nfl-elo-v2 — Elo ratings trained on real ESPN results (2025 regular+postseason and 2026 regular season to date), chronological replay, K=20, home advantage = 65 Elo rating points, applied only at true home venues: games the feed flags neutral-site get no home bonus, in training and in prediction. Totals baseline is the mean total points of the training games (measured, not assumed). Score-model spread/total probabilities use the engine's bivariate-normal assumptions (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters. No backtest against closing lines exists; treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
What the win probability uses: Elo ratings only, plus a home-field adjustment of 65 Elo rating points at true home venues (no adjustment at feed-flagged neutral sites).
Contextual research (displayed, not in the calculation): Contextual research only — form, rest, injuries, head-to-head, weather, and travel do not change the win probability above.
Totals: Expected scores are centered on a shared league-wide totals baseline of 46.2 points (the mean total of the training games) — a baseline, not a matchup-specific forecast.
Score-distribution assumptions: Spread/total probabilities assume team scores are bivariate normal (score std 13.5, correlation 0.3) — documented approximations, not measured NFL parameters.
Validation status: No backtest against closing lines exists. Treat all outputs as experimental uncertain forecasts.
Data used
PHI (2-5) — 69 days rest
Last 5: 0-5 (5 straight losses)
| Oct 26, 2026 | DAL | L | 21-38 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CAR | L | 14-25 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | JAX | L | 17-19 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | LAR | L | 20-24 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | CHI | L | 7-27 |
SF (6-1) — 70 days rest
Last 5: 4-1 (1 straight loss)
| Oct 25, 2026 | ATL | L | 20-29 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | WSH | W | 23-17 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SEA | W | 32-29 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | DEN | W | 24-14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ARI | W | 36-30 |
Coverage: 2024-2026 regular+postseason schedules (ESPN)
| Date | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| No meetings in coverage period | ||
Report published 2026-10-30 — availability for this game unknown. The latest available report, kept as dated context. Week numbers could not be determined; it may not reflect this game's week.
PHI
| DeVonta Smith | Questionable | Smith (hamstring) missed Thursday's practice. |
| Saquon Barkley | Questionable | Barkley (hamstring/back) didn't practice Thursday. |
| Marcus Epps | Questionable | questionable |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Questionable | Wicks (ankle) isn't participating in Thursday's practice, Dave Zangaro of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports. |
| Nolan Smith Jr. | Questionable | Smith (concussion) was listed as a limited participant in Wednesday's walkthrough. |
| Michael Carter II | Questionable | Carter (abdomen) was estimated to be a limited participant in Wednesday's walkthrough. |
| Jihaad Campbell | Questionable | Campbell (hamstring/quadriceps) didn't participate in Wednesday's walkthrough. |
| Moro Ojomo | Questionable | questionable |
| Jalyx Hunt | Questionable | questionable |
| Jonathan Jones | Questionable | questionable |
| Jonathan Greenard | Questionable | questionable |
| Dameon Pierce | Injured Reserve | The Eagles placed Pierce (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday |
| Jalen Carter | Active | |
| Smael Mondon Jr. | Active | |
| Jake Elliott | Active | Elliott made all three of his PAT attempts and didn't attempt a field goal in Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys. |
| Elijah Mitchell | Active | Mitchell reverted to the Eagles' practice squad Tuesday. |
| Jaydon Blue | Active | The Eagles signed Blue from the practice squad to the active roster Wednesday. |
| Cooper DeJean | Active | DeJean recorded seven tackles (three solo) during Monday's 38-21 loss versus the Cowboys. |
| Zack Baun | Active | Baun recorded nine tackles (two solo) and a pass defensed during Monday's 38-21 loss versus the Cowboys. |
| Elijah Moore | Active | Moore caught both of his targets for 16 yards during Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys. |
| Eli Stowers | Active | Stowers failed to haul in his lone target during Monday's 38-21 loss to Dallas. |
| Darius Cooper | Active | Cooper caught one of three passes for 17 yards during the Eagles' 38-21 loss to the Cowboys on Monday. |
| Jake Majors | Active | |
| Hollywood Brown | Active | Brown secured two of five targets for 30 yards in the Eagles' 38-21 loss to the Cowboys on Monday night. |
| Dallas Goedert | Active | Goedert secured five of seven targets for 48 yards in the Eagles' 38-21 loss to the Cowboys on Monday night. |
SF
| Marques Sigle | Questionable | questionable |
| Garret Wallow | Questionable | questionable |
| Luke Gifford | Questionable | questionable |
| Upton Stout | Questionable | Stout (shoulder) was only active as an emergency depth option during Sunday's loss to the Falcons, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reported Monday. |
| Nick Bosa | Questionable | San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Bosa (knee) "has a chance" to return to action Nov. 8 versus the Raiders following a Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | Questionable | Samuel (hamstring) has a chance to return following the 49ers' Week 8 bye, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. |
| Demarcus Robinson | Injured Reserve | 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan reiterated Monday that Robinson (ankle) has a chance to return following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | Injured Reserve | Stribling (ankle) remains on track to return in December, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. |
| Mike Evans | Questionable | Evans (Achilles) is expected to return after San Francisco's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SF Standard reports. |
| Christian McCaffrey | Questionable | McCaffrey is dealing with a mild hamstring strain rather than a quadriceps injury, and the 49ers believe he'll be ready following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SF Standard reports. |
| Dre Greenlaw | Active | Greenlaw posted 12 tackles (four solo) in Sunday's loss to the Falcons. |
| Fred Warner | Active | Warner recorded 13 tackles (six solo) Sunday in a Week 7 loss to Atlanta. |
| Christian Kirk | Active | Kirk played 20 snaps on offense but didn't show up in the box score otherwise during Sunday's 29-20 loss to Atlanta. |
| Brandin Cooks | Active | Cooks caught one of three targets for 13 yards during Sunday's 29-20 loss to Atlanta. |
| Jacob Cowing | Active | Cowing caught three of five passes for 38 yards, added a 10-yard carry and returned one kickoff for 28 yards during Sunday's 29-20 loss to the Falcons. |
| Jordan James | Active | James logged a six-yard carry, turned his lone target into an 11-yard catch and registered 119 yards on four kickoff returns during the 49ers' 29-20 loss to the Falcons on Sunday. |
| Kurtis Rourke | Active | |
| Brock Purdy | Active | Purdy completed 27 of 40 passes for 288 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions and added two carries for five yards in the 49ers' 29-20 loss to the Falcons on Sunday. |
| Kyle Juszczyk | Active | Juszczyk caught all three of his targets for 11 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's 29-20 loss to Atlanta. |
| Eddy Pineiro | Active | Pineiro did not attempt a field goal while going 2-for-3 on PATs in Sunday's 26-20 loss to the Falcons. |
| Jordan Watkins | Active | Watkins brought in three of six targets for 56 yards in the 49ers' 29-20 loss to the Falcons on Sunday. |
| Kaelon Black | Active | Black rushed 12 times for 63 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of three targets for minus-4 yards in the 49ers' 29-20 loss to the Falcons on Sunday. He also lost a fumble and returned one kickoff for 34 yards. |
| George Kittle | Active | Kittle brought in eight of 10 targets for 88 yards and lost a fumble in the 49ers' 29-20 loss to the Falcons on Sunday. |
| Siran Neal | Active | |
| Mykel Williams | Active | Williams (knee) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Falcons. |
Labels: Out = confirmed unavailable; Doubtful = projected unavailable; Questionable = projected uncertain.
66.4°F, wind 4.7 mph, precip — mm (next 1h),
Forecast for Sun, Nov 8 at 7:00 PM ET (updated Oct 30). Weather data: MET Norway (api.met.no), CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0
Travel (PHI): ~2,502 miles, 3h time-zone shift west